Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.027016 0.029709 0.032371 0.035193 0.038094 0.040985 0.044080
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.021267 0.025580 0.029961 0.034714 0.039702 0.044760 0.050256
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.017041 0.022374 0.027931 0.034080 0.040635 0.047367 0.054761
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.014023 0.020078 0.026541 0.033814 0.041669 0.049815 0.058835
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.012004 0.018652 0.025902 0.034179 0.043209 0.052644 0.063152
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.009602 0.016576 0.024385 0.033445 0.043437 0.053960 0.065750
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.007931 0.015199 0.023542 0.033355 0.044278 0.055853 0.068881
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.006337 0.013768 0.022539 0.033008 0.044766 0.057301 0.071472
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.004857 0.012331 0.021442 0.032483 0.044998 0.058420 0.073656
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003193 0.010436 0.019692 0.031135 0.044252 0.058418 0.074579
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002708 0.010139 0.019856 0.031973 0.045927 0.061043 0.078322
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001977 0.009362 0.019376 0.032024 0.046688 0.062635 0.080913
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000986 0.008024 0.018249 0.031434 0.046879 0.063778 0.083226
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000283 0.006836 0.017274 0.031034 0.047320 0.065244 0.085950
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.005632 0.016177 0.030434 0.047496 0.066387 0.088296
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004723 0.015401 0.030181 0.048036 0.067906 0.091024
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004203 0.015136 0.030532 0.049255 0.070163 0.094541
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003226 0.014071 0.029825 0.049199 0.070955 0.096409
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002624 0.013519 0.029739 0.049848 0.072522 0.099114
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001984 0.012804 0.029405 0.050179 0.073704 0.101369
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001360 0.011989 0.028901 0.050279 0.074605 0.103290
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000607 0.010631 0.027607 0.049393 0.074351 0.103898
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000534 0.010816 0.028411 0.051042 0.076995 0.107737